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Cake day: June 24th, 2024

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  • Eh. I’d say it’s center right, the c*u is right, there’s the fascists/far right and then you have the social democratic parties left of center like the greens and the linke.

    Things don’t have to be relative in this context either. They’re also relative, but you can use more absolute criteria as well. Stuff like “wants no one to be coerced into employment” vs “wants some people coerced mildly” vs “wants to coerce everyone to be employed”. Or the converse with regards to social security. Or criteria relating to individual rights. Or regulation in favor of hierarchical power structures vs regulations in favor of non-hierarchical power structures. These would all be meaningful left-right aligned analytical lenses.

    I do agree though that relative statements can for certain contexts be more immediately practical. But also, the case of the spd is one where thinking about the space of possible party landscapes is relevant: What if the spd were center-left, in the sense of reformist left-wing/labor movement/syndicalist-ish policies, instead of a seeheimer circle oriented mildly right-wing party? That would present a very different type of discourse in society, i feel.


  • I don’t think you should expect that the average proportion of votes should correspond to the expected number of won chunks. This is a known property of first past the post electoral systems, which mayoral elections approximate.

    There’s slightly over 2000 cities and towns in Germany. If there was a party that gets 1% of the votes, you would not expect them to get 20ish mayoral seats, without further information about clustering of voters, you’d rather expect them to be somewhat homogeneous in their losses (because of the mechanisms that cause the low popularity presumably (!) applying everywhere; if the 1% of voters were all coming from the same place because it’s a hyperregional party for example, that would possibly change).

    Now, sadly, there’s a bit of clustering going on and that makes fascist mayors more likely, but I guess other than that, one possible conclusion here is: Fascist voters are everywhere, so whatever mechanism is behind their etiology, it applies all over the place.

    The media landscape and dominant politics feeding into what feeds fascists is a “likely” candidate here. Scare quotes because, like, cmon. :| Friede, Fritze…